Justin Ward
2 min readJun 19, 2019

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Maybe I should edit the piece to clarify, because people keep misinterpreting the point I’m making here.

What I’m talking about here is Trump’s base, which is not the same as saying every person who voted for Trump.

Most of my extended family voted for Trump. My Dad is a straight-ticket Republican voter and a precinct chair. Trump was something like his fourth or fifth choice after Carson, Walker, Rubio, and Cruz dropped out.

I understand that lots of conservatives are single-issue voters (abortion) and they mainly voted for Trump because of the vacant Supreme Court seat.

I’m not talking about those people. The phrase I used at the end is “Trump’s fanatical base,” which refers to the Redhats, the QAnon nutters, the people fantasizing about hanging Democrats from lampposts daily on the pro-Trump subreddit and the armed creeps who are at the border sticking guns in the faces of children.

Yes, there are millions who are “harmless traditional conservatives,” but even if the hardcore, potentially violent subset is only about 1 in 60, that’s more than a million.

It’s a matter of probability. If you have such a large amount of people who are at high risk for becoming violent, the probability that something will happen is almost 100 percent.

Less than a week after I posted this, this guy got arrested for threatening to murder Democrats. We’re still more than a year out from the elections.

Imagine what it will be like after a long, polarizing campaign season, after Trump whips these goobers into a frenzy and primes them to believe the Deep State is rigging the election.

I stand by my statement, but I won’t be too happy if I’m right. Someone is going to die.

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Justin Ward
Justin Ward

Written by Justin Ward

Journalist and activist. Founder and co-chair of DivestSPD. Bylines at SPLC, The Baffler, GEN, USA Today. Follow on Twitter: @justwardoctrine, @DivestSPD

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