Justin Ward
2 min readMar 19, 2020

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Yes, it’s not incumbent on you (unless you want to win.) You statistically cannot win with the support that Biden has. Biden consistently won less than 20 percent of the youth vote. In 2016, more than 80 percent of Bernie supporters voted for Clinton in the primary. This year, you’ll be lucky to get 60 percent.

Here’s why that’s a problem.

The people who voted for Biden in the primary are what they call “high propensity” voters. They’re going to vote in November regardless. You need that core of the Democratic party and then some to win. To do that you need to mobilize low-propensity voters, i.e. the poor and young.

And to do that, you need organization, which Biden doesn’t have because he coasted through the primary on Obama’s name, a bunch of high-level endorsements, and at least a hundred million dollars in earned media (from outlets like MSNBC that have less influence outside the Democratic Party).

You also need money. As of February, Joe Biden had only raised $69 million, which he already spent. By convention time in 2008, Obama had nearly $400 million adjusted for inflation. Biden is cash-strapped because he can’t hold huge gala fundraisers for big ticket donors.

Like it or not, you need us, but Boomers either voted for Biden out of spite or because they thought they were the “adults in the room” who knew better than the young people who will actually have to live in this world for another 40–50 years (if we’re lucky).

You could’ve picked Bernie and just sat back and let us do the work, but now I guess you’re going to have to make phone calls and text. You’ll do that, right? Good luck.

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Justin Ward
Justin Ward

Written by Justin Ward

Journalist and activist. Founder and co-chair of DivestSPD. Bylines at SPLC, The Baffler, GEN, USA Today. Follow on Twitter: @justwardoctrine, @DivestSPD

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